快乐男声Analyst Says Scottish IndyRef Re-Run Blocked by BoJo Could be Risky for SNP_我的网站
A | Another Scottish independence referendum could be risky for the regional government in Edinburgh, an academic and analyst has said.,Embattled British Prime Minister Boris Johnson wrote to Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP) and first minister in the devolved administration, on Wednesday evening to deny her latest demand for a re-run of the 2014 plebiscite.,"As our country faces unprecedented challenges at home and abroad, I cannot agree that now is the time to return to a question, which was clearly answered by the people of Scotland in 2014," Johnson wrote.,Sturgeon announced in June that Scotland's Lord Advocate Dorothy Bain — whose cabinet post combines the powers of the Westminster government's attorney general and the director of public prosecutions — would ask the Supreme Court to rule on the legality of holding another vote without necessary approval from the Westminster Parliament.,The nationalist leader claimed Scots would vote to separate from England — where many of them work — out of a desire to reverse Brexit and opposition to 12 years of government by the Conservative Party, which holds few Parliamentary seats in Scotland.,Dr Roslyn Fuller, director of the non-profit think tank Solonian Democracy Institute and the author of the book Beasts and Gods: How Democracy Changed Its Meaning and Lost Its Purpose told Sputnik that while pushing for a repeat referendum was central to the SNP's identity, it was also a dangerous gamble.,She said SNP's planned vote next year would only be "advisory" and "non-binding", but that it also took the party back to its basic reason for being.,"I think the SNP has the same challenges that many other independence parties like Sinn Fein or the Bloc Quebecois have — they succeed in attaining power in their own region which forces them to go from a single-issue party (independence) to develop a multitude of other policies that voters then judge them on," the academic said.,"They end up working within the system they intended to break away from and this can dilute their message," Fuller added. "Sturgeon and the SNP generally need to be seen to be continuing to pursue independence to satisfy a certain portion of their voters, and this is a way to achieve that".,Running the plebiscite — with legal sanction — and winning would give the SNP a boost going in to the next general election, due by the end of January 2025 but potentially much sooner, the analyst believes.,Even if the vote was blocked, Sturgeon has already stated that she would consider the next general election a de-facto referendum on independence, she points out. "So again, it would serve to drive out the vote for the SNP and try to focus attention on this one issue (independence) that differentiates them from the other major parties.","The only really risky situation for her would be if the Court did greenlight such an advisory referendum and it failed at the polls," Fuller stressed.,The 'Yes' campaign was leading in the polls in the run-up to the 2014 referendum, but ultimately the 10 per cent of voters declaring themselves undecided went overwhelmingly to the 'No' camp. Scotland voted by 55 per cent to 45 to remain part of the UK.,The key unknown factor, according to Fuller, is who succeeds Johnson as next Tory leader an PM.,"My personal feeling is that we'll be seeing a turn of the Tories back to more establishment politics with likely quite different policies," she says. "I think they ran Johnson as a counter to Corbyn, but that job is done now that the Labour party has turned back to its own centre.",Fuller argues that such a major change of political direction would be significant enough that a snap general election should be called to seek a new mandate to govern. She says the SNP's performance at the polls would be crucial to their referendum bid.,Prof: Scottish Independence Requires Serious Debate Amid Soaring Cost of Living in UK16 June, 12:47 GMT,Legal Avenues,The think-tank director believes Sturgeon's appeal to the Supreme Court shows the SNP is anxious keep its latest bid for a referendum on firm legal ground, since its declared pretext for the vote is so Scotland can re-apply for membership of the European Union (EU). But she cautioned that would open "a whole can of worms.","Firstly, it clouds the entire idea of independence. It Scotland were to re-join the EU, which is heading towards getting rid of unanimity voting, the average Scot would have significantly less power than they do if they remain in the UK," she says.,"It is not 'independence' in any actual meaning of the word," Fuller stressed. "How do you run an 'independence' referendum on the understanding that if you win, you are going to join a larger, even less democratic, entity?",But more importantly, an unsanctioned 'indyref' would put the SNP in the same bracket as the coalition of Catalan nationalist parties who held an unofficial plebiscite in 2017, in which only supporters of independence bothered to vote. The political organisers found themselves arrested and charged or, in the case of then-regional president Carles Puigdemont, fleeing abroad as a fugitive.,"There are countries in the EU, like Spain, that are very much against separatist referendums, so getting some kind of legal blessing for this is probably necessary to retain their support," Fuller says.。 “星”运相伴，美好如期。为感谢广大购彩者长期以来的支持与厚爱，深圳体彩精心筹备了2026年超级大乐透长票“集星”（第二期）活动。活动期间，购买超级大乐透套餐票或一票10注的长票，即有机会获得赠票一张。快跟随乐小星一起，到身边的实体店，一起来解锁属于你的乐透惊喜吧~一、活动时间 自2026年8月21日09:00:00至2026年9月15日23:59:59（或827万元赠票派送完毕，活动随即终止）。 二、活动规则 1.活动期间，购彩者凡在深圳市（含深汕特别合作区）体育彩票电彩实体店，购买超级大乐透一票10注彩票（一张单期票面打印10注单式号码的彩票，含追加）或套餐票，即可获得1次“集星”机会。2.超级大乐透长票票面营销区共打印8个图形，如当中出现4个“乐小星（）”标志即中得本次“集星”活动一等奖。本次活动共设置四个奖级，具体详见下表。
B | 3.一票10注的预售票（以实际购买时间判定）、多倍票、多期票首期可参与活动，单票仅获得1次“集星”机会；多期票的补打票、“集星”活动所获赠票，不能再次参与活动。4.“集星”活动独立于该彩票单独开奖，即开即兑，“集星”成功的彩票终端机将会自动打印出赠票。5.活动期间，若与国家体彩中心、广东省体彩中心同类活动冲突，优先开展国家及省级活动；如遇国家、省市政策调整，深圳市体育彩票管理中心将根据相关要求进行调整或终止本活动。6.深圳市体育彩票管理中心有权在法律范围内对活动规则作相应解释。 集合乐小星乐透有惊喜让我们以“星”为媒在收获惊喜的同时保持平和心境、理性投注拥抱生活里的小期待。 Current article:http://ow5rj5o.ninyakenhongnian.sbs/list_31qqc/1b7w.html Published on:07:54:46 |
